Tondela vs Moreirense Prediction & Odds
Primeira Liga · 11 May 2026 22:15 · Final score 2-0. Our prediction: Tondela win (51%) · odds 2.00. Most likely pick Under 3.5 76% (odds ~1.32). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Tondela 1.57 – 0.95 Moreirense
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%1-0 12%2-0 10%2-1 9%0-0 9%
Tondela vs Moreirense head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Tondela 4 wins, 2 draws, Moreirense 2 wins. 2.25 goals per game, both teams scored in 50%, over 2.5 in 38%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Primeira Liga | Tondela – Moreirense | 2-0 | Tondela won |
| 2026-01-11 | Primeira Liga | Moreirense – Tondela | 1-0 | Moreirense won |
| 2022-04-16 | Primeira Liga | Moreirense – Tondela | 2-0 | Moreirense won |
| 2022-01-03 | Primeira Liga | Tondela – Moreirense | 2-1 | Tondela won |
| 2021-04-17 | Primeira Liga | Moreirense – Tondela | 2-3 | Tondela won |
| 2020-12-19 | Primeira Liga | Tondela – Moreirense | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2020-07-26 | Primeira Liga | Moreirense – Tondela | 1-2 | Tondela won |
| 2020-01-18 | Primeira Liga | Tondela – Moreirense | 1-1 | Draw |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 1.96 | 3.55 | 4.00 | 2.02 | 1.81 |
| Bet365 | 1.86 | 3.40 | 4.10 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| Bet&Win | 1.93 | 3.40 | 3.75 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.30 | 3.90 | — | — |
| Betfred | 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.75 | — | — |
| Ladbrokes | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.80 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Tondela vs Moreirense?
Our model gives tondela win a 51% chance; the draw is 26%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 51%. Expected goals Tondela 1.57 – 0.95 Moreirense.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 46%, under 54%. Over 1.5 70%, over 3.5 24%.
What is the Tondela vs Moreirense head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Tondela won 4, Moreirense won 2 and 2 were drawn, with 2.25 goals per game and both teams scoring in 50% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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