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Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction & Odds

Serie A · 4 May 2026 21:45 · Final score 4-0. Our prediction: Roma win (58%) · odds 1.66. Most likely pick Over 1.5 77% (odds ~1.32). Prediction was correct ✓

Match result

Roma58% 1.66
Draw24% 4.20
Fiorentina18% 5.40

Both teams to score

BTTS yes54% ~2.01
BTTS no46% ~1.99

Total goals (over)

Over 1.577% ~1.32
Over 2.552% 1.91
Over 3.527% ~3.45

Expected goals: Roma 1.82 – 0.92 Fiorentina

Most likely scorelines

1-1 11%1-0 11%2-0 11%2-1 10%0-0 7%

REKLAM
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Roma vs Fiorentina head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Roma 4 wins, 2 draws, Fiorentina 2 wins. 3.38 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 75%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-08-24Serie ARoma – Fiorentina4-0Roma won
2026-05-04Serie ARoma – Fiorentina4-0Roma won
2025-10-05Serie AFiorentina – Roma1-2Roma won
2025-05-04Serie ARoma – Fiorentina1-0Roma won
2024-10-27Serie AFiorentina – Roma5-1Fiorentina won
2024-03-10Serie AFiorentina – Roma2-2Draw
2023-12-10Serie ARoma – Fiorentina1-1Draw
2023-05-27Serie AFiorentina – Roma2-1Fiorentina won

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Bet3651.624.205.001.901.95
Bet&Win1.654.005.00——
BetVictor1.603.805.25——
Betfred1.624.005.00——
Ladbrokes1.654.005.00——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Roma

11.07 ESassuolo3-0 G
10.31 DUdinese2-5 G
10.27 ECagliari4-2 G
10.24 DNapoli3-3 B
10.17 EGenoa2-0 G

Fiorentina

11.02 DSassuolo2-4 G
10.29 EAtalanta2-2 B
10.25 DInter2-1 M
10.18 EComo1-3 M
10.10 DGenoa2-1 M

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Roma vs Fiorentina?

Our model gives roma win a 58% chance; the draw is 24%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: yes at 54%. Expected goals Roma 1.82 – 0.92 Fiorentina.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 52%, under 48%. Over 1.5 77%, over 3.5 27%.

What is the Roma vs Fiorentina head-to-head record?

In the last 8 meetings Roma won 4, Fiorentina won 2 and 2 were drawn, with 3.38 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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