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Casa Pia vs Tondela Prediction & Odds

Primeira Liga · 3 May 2026 17:30 · Final score 0-1. Our prediction: Casa Pia win (41%) · odds 2.38. Most likely pick Under 3.5 79% (odds ~1.27). Prediction was correct ✓

Match result

Casa Pia41% 2.38
Draw29% 3.25
Tondela30% 3.30

Both teams to score

BTTS yes51% ~2.06
BTTS no49% ~1.94

Total goals (over)

Over 1.566% ~1.45
Over 2.542% 2.20
Over 3.521% ~4.64

Expected goals: Casa Pia 1.28 – 1.08 Tondela

Most likely scorelines

1-1 14%1-0 11%0-0 10%0-1 10%2-1 8%

REKLAM
reklam

Casa Pia vs Tondela head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Casa Pia 1 wins, 0 draws, Tondela 1 wins. 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 50%, over 2.5 in 50%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-05-03Primeira LigaCasa Pia – Tondela0-1Tondela won
2025-12-21Primeira LigaTondela – Casa Pia1-2Casa Pia won

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Bet3652.203.203.302.201.65
Bet&Win2.303.203.00——
BetVictor2.203.133.10——
Betfred2.253.203.00——
Ladbrokes2.303.253.10——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Casa Pia

11.07 DAlverca1-1 B
10.30 ESp Lisbon0-2 M
10.24 DEstrela0-2 G
10.10 ESanta Clara0-1 M
09.20 DEstoril1-2 G

Tondela

05.16 DArouca3-1 M
05.11 EMoreirense2-0 G
05.03 DCasa Pia0-1 G
04.29 DSp Lisbon2-2 B
04.25 ENacional0-2 M

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Casa Pia vs Tondela?

Our model gives casa pia win a 41% chance; the draw is 29%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: yes at 51%. Expected goals Casa Pia 1.28 – 1.08 Tondela.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 42%, under 58%. Over 1.5 66%, over 3.5 21%.

What is the Casa Pia vs Tondela head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings Casa Pia won 1, Tondela won 1 and 0 were drawn, with 2.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 50% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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