Leeds vs Burnley Prediction & Odds
Premier League · 1 May 2026 22:00 · Final score 3-1. Our prediction: Leeds win (73%) · odds 1.38. Most likely pick Over 1.5 79% (odds ~1.24). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Leeds 2.29 – 0.71 Burnley
Most likely scorelines
2-0 13%1-0 11%3-0 10%2-1 9%1-1 8%
Leeds vs Burnley head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Leeds 4 wins, 2 draws, Burnley 2 wins. 2.25 goals per game, both teams scored in 38%, over 2.5 in 38%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Premier League | Leeds – Burnley | 3-1 | Leeds won |
| 2025-10-18 | Premier League | Burnley – Leeds | 2-0 | Burnley won |
| 2025-01-27 | Championship | Burnley – Leeds | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2024-09-14 | Championship | Leeds – Burnley | 0-1 | Burnley won |
| 2022-01-02 | Premier League | Leeds – Burnley | 3-1 | Leeds won |
| 2021-08-29 | Premier League | Burnley – Leeds | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2021-05-15 | Premier League | Burnley – Leeds | 0-4 | Leeds won |
| 2020-12-27 | Premier League | Leeds – Burnley | 1-0 | Leeds won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.00 | 9.50 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| Bet&Win | 1.38 | 5.00 | 7.75 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 5.25 | 9.00 | — | — |
| Betfred | 1.36 | 5.00 | 9.00 | — | — |
| Ladbrokes | 1.36 | 5.00 | 7.50 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Leeds vs Burnley?
Our model gives leeds win a 73% chance; the draw is 17%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: no at 51%. Expected goals Leeds 2.29 – 0.71 Burnley.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 58%, under 42%. Over 1.5 79%, over 3.5 34%.
What is the Leeds vs Burnley head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Leeds won 4, Burnley won 2 and 2 were drawn, with 2.25 goals per game and both teams scoring in 38% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
- Leeds predictions and form
- Burnley predictions and form
- Premier League predictions and table
- All predictions for 1 May 2026
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