Tondela vs Nacional Prediction & Odds
Primeira Liga · 25 April 2026 17:30 · Final score 0-2. Our prediction: Nacional win (40%) · odds 2.60. Most likely pick Over 1.5 73% (odds ~1.35). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Tondela 1.28 – 1.43 Nacional
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%0-1 9%1-2 9%1-0 8%2-1 8%
Tondela vs Nacional head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Tondela 2 wins, 1 draws, Nacional 5 wins. 3.12 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 50%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Primeira Liga | Tondela – Nacional | 0-2 | Nacional won |
| 2025-12-15 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Tondela | 3-1 | Nacional won |
| 2021-04-22 | Primeira Liga | Tondela – Nacional | 2-1 | Tondela won |
| 2020-12-27 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Tondela | 2-0 | Nacional won |
| 2019-03-02 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Tondela | 3-2 | Nacional won |
| 2018-10-05 | Primeira Liga | Tondela – Nacional | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2017-04-22 | Primeira Liga | Tondela – Nacional | 2-0 | Tondela won |
| 2016-12-11 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Tondela | 3-2 | Nacional won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| Bet&Win | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.45 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.40 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.40 | — | — |
| Ladbrokes | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.45 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Tondela vs Nacional?
Our model gives nacional win a 40% chance; the draw is 27%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 58%. Expected goals Tondela 1.28 – 1.43 Nacional.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 51%, under 49%. Over 1.5 73%, over 3.5 29%.
What is the Tondela vs Nacional head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Tondela won 2, Nacional won 5 and 1 were drawn, with 3.12 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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