Norwich vs Derby Prediction & Odds
Championship · 21 April 2026 21:45 · Final score 2-1. Our prediction: Norwich win (48%) · odds 2.05. Most likely pick Over 1.5 78% (odds ~1.30). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Norwich 1.67 – 1.15 Derby
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%2-1 10%1-0 9%2-0 8%1-2 7%
Norwich vs Derby head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Norwich 4 wins, 1 draws, Derby 3 wins. 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 50%, over 2.5 in 50%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | Championship | Derby – Norwich | 0-4 | Norwich won |
| 2026-04-21 | Championship | Norwich – Derby | 2-1 | Norwich won |
| 2025-10-21 | Championship | Derby – Norwich | 1-0 | Derby won |
| 2025-02-08 | Championship | Norwich – Derby | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2024-09-28 | Championship | Derby – Norwich | 2-3 | Norwich won |
| 2021-04-10 | Championship | Derby – Norwich | 0-1 | Norwich won |
| 2020-10-03 | Championship | Norwich – Derby | 0-1 | Derby won |
| 2018-12-29 | Championship | Norwich – Derby | 3-4 | Derby won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.96 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| Bet&Win | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.50 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.60 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.50 | — | — |
| Ladbrokes | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.50 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Norwich vs Derby?
Our model gives norwich win a 48% chance; the draw is 27%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 57%. Expected goals Norwich 1.67 – 1.15 Derby.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 54%, under 46%. Over 1.5 78%, over 3.5 29%.
What is the Norwich vs Derby head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Norwich won 4, Derby won 3 and 1 were drawn, with 3.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 50% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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Other Championship matches on 21 April 2026
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- Leicester – Hull Over 1.5 %79
- Norwich – Derby Over 1.5 %78
- Oxford – Wrexham Under 3.5 %78
- QPR – Swansea Under 3.5 %74
- Southampton – Bristol City Over 1.5 %80
- Stoke – Millwall Over 1.5 %78
- West Brom – Watford Under 3.5 %75
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More
- Norwich predictions and form
- Derby predictions and form
- Championship predictions and table
- All predictions for 21 April 2026
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