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Arouca vs Estrela Prediction & Odds

Primeira Liga · 19 April 2026 17:30 · Final score 1-0. Our prediction: Arouca win (46%) · odds 2.10. Most likely pick Over 1.5 74% (odds ~1.34). Prediction missed ✗

Match result

Arouca46% 2.10
Draw29% 3.40
Estrela25% 4.20

Both teams to score

BTTS yes54% ~1.89
BTTS no46% ~2.12

Total goals (over)

Over 1.574% ~1.34
Over 2.549% 1.96
Over 3.528% ~3.67

Expected goals: Arouca 1.55 – 1.09 Estrela

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13%1-0 10%2-1 9%2-0 9%0-0 8%

REKLAM
reklam

Arouca vs Estrela head-to-head

Last 7 meetings: Arouca 4 wins, 1 draws, Estrela 2 wins. 2.14 goals per game, both teams scored in 43%, over 2.5 in 43%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-10-11Primeira LigaArouca – Estrela1-0Arouca won
2026-04-19Primeira LigaArouca – Estrela1-0Arouca won
2025-12-07Primeira LigaEstrela – Arouca3-1Estrela won
2025-04-19Primeira LigaArouca – Estrela1-0Arouca won
2024-12-09Primeira LigaEstrela – Arouca2-1Estrela won
2024-05-05Primeira LigaArouca – Estrela0-0Draw
2023-12-28Primeira LigaEstrela – Arouca1-4Arouca won

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Betfair Exch.2.063.404.201.961.90
Bet3652.013.403.501.931.93
Bet&Win2.053.303.50——
BetVictor2.003.303.40——
Betfred2.053.253.40——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Arouca

11.06 DFamalicao1-0 M
11.01 ENacional1-0 G
10.24 DAlverca0-1 G
10.11 EEstrela1-0 G
09.19 DSp Lisbon2-2 B

Estrela

11.08 EBenfica2-3 M
10.31 DMoreirense2-1 M
10.24 ECasa Pia0-2 M
10.11 DArouca1-0 M
09.20 EAcademico Viseu0-2 M

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Arouca vs Estrela?

Our model gives arouca win a 46% chance; the draw is 29%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: yes at 54%. Expected goals Arouca 1.55 – 1.09 Estrela.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 49%, under 51%. Over 1.5 74%, over 3.5 28%.

What is the Arouca vs Estrela head-to-head record?

In the last 7 meetings Arouca won 4, Estrela won 2 and 1 were drawn, with 2.14 goals per game and both teams scoring in 43% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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