Nacional vs Alverca Prediction & Odds
Primeira Liga · 18 April 2026 17:30 · Final score 1-0. Our prediction: Nacional win (46%) · odds 2.30. Most likely pick Over 1.5 76% (odds ~1.32). Prediction missed ✗
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Nacional 1.57 – 1.18 Alverca
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%1-0 9%2-1 9%2-0 8%0-0 7%
Nacional vs Alverca head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Nacional 1 wins, 0 draws, Alverca 2 wins. 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 33%, over 2.5 in 33%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Alverca | 1-3 | Alverca won |
| 2026-04-18 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Alverca | 1-0 | Nacional won |
| 2025-12-07 | Primeira Liga | Alverca – Nacional | 1-0 | Alverca won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.30 | 3.55 | 3.35 | 1.86 | 2.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| Bet&Win | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.10 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.10 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Nacional vs Alverca?
Our model gives nacional win a 46% chance; the draw is 27%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 57%. Expected goals Nacional 1.57 – 1.18 Alverca.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 52%, under 48%. Over 1.5 76%, over 3.5 29%.
What is the Nacional vs Alverca head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings Nacional won 1, Alverca won 2 and 0 were drawn, with 2.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 33% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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Other Primeira Liga matches on 18 April 2026
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More
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