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Sociedad vs Alaves Prediction & Odds

La Liga · 11 April 2026 15:00 · Final score 3-3. Our prediction: Sociedad win (54%) · odds 1.79. Most likely pick Over 1.5 76% (odds ~1.33). Prediction was correct ✓

Match result

Sociedad54% 1.79
Draw27% 3.90
Alaves19% 5.40

Both teams to score

BTTS yes53% ~1.98
BTTS no47% ~2.03

Total goals (over)

Over 1.576% ~1.33
Over 2.549% 1.93
Over 3.528% ~3.54

Expected goals: Sociedad 1.7 – 0.93 Alaves

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12%1-0 12%2-0 10%2-1 10%0-0 8%

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Sociedad vs Alaves head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Sociedad 2 wins, 3 draws, Alaves 3 wins. 2.12 goals per game, both teams scored in 50%, over 2.5 in 25%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-04-11La LigaSociedad – Alaves3-3Draw
2025-12-06La LigaAlaves – Sociedad1-0Alaves won
2025-04-23La LigaAlaves – Sociedad1-0Alaves won
2024-08-28La LigaSociedad – Alaves1-2Alaves won
2024-03-31La LigaAlaves – Sociedad0-1Sociedad won
2024-01-02La LigaSociedad – Alaves1-1Draw
2022-03-13La LigaSociedad – Alaves1-0Sociedad won
2022-01-02La LigaAlaves – Sociedad1-1Draw

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Betfair Exch.1.793.905.401.932.04
Bet3651.733.704.751.881.98
Bet&Win1.753.704.60——
BetVictor1.733.754.75——
Betfred1.733.754.60——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Sociedad

11.08 EVallecano1-0 G
11.01 DAth Bilbao2-1 M
10.25 ELevante2-1 G
10.18 DMalaga2-5 G
10.11 ELa Coruna3-2 G

Alaves

11.06 DSevilla0-0 B
10.31 DBarcelona6-1 M
10.23 EMalaga1-1 B
10.18 DCelta2-1 M
10.10 EAth Madrid1-2 M

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sociedad vs Alaves?

Our model gives sociedad win a 54% chance; the draw is 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: yes at 53%. Expected goals Sociedad 1.7 – 0.93 Alaves.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 49%, under 51%. Over 1.5 76%, over 3.5 28%.

What is the Sociedad vs Alaves head-to-head record?

In the last 8 meetings Sociedad won 2, Alaves won 3 and 3 were drawn, with 2.12 goals per game and both teams scoring in 50% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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