Napoli vs Milan Prediction & Odds
Serie A · 6 April 2026 21:45 · Final score 1-0. Our prediction: Napoli win (34%) · odds 2.60. Most likely pick Under 3.5 81% (odds ~1.25). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Napoli 1.16 – 1.11 Milan
Most likely scorelines
1-1 14%1-0 11%0-0 11%0-1 11%2-1 8%
Napoli vs Milan head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Napoli 4 wins, 1 draws, Milan 3 wins. 2.62 goals per game, both teams scored in 50%, over 2.5 in 62%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Serie A | Napoli – Milan | 1-0 | Napoli won |
| 2025-09-28 | Serie A | Milan – Napoli | 2-1 | Milan won |
| 2025-03-30 | Serie A | Napoli – Milan | 2-1 | Napoli won |
| 2024-10-29 | Serie A | Milan – Napoli | 0-2 | Napoli won |
| 2024-02-11 | Serie A | Milan – Napoli | 1-0 | Milan won |
| 2023-10-29 | Serie A | Napoli – Milan | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2023-04-02 | Serie A | Napoli – Milan | 0-4 | Milan won |
| 2022-09-18 | Serie A | Milan – Napoli | 1-2 | Napoli won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.58 | 3.10 | 3.35 | 2.36 | 1.66 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| Bet&Win | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.87 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 2.90 | 3.00 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.50 | 3.10 | 3.00 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Napoli vs Milan?
Our model gives napoli win a 34% chance; the draw is 34%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 51%. Expected goals Napoli 1.16 – 1.11 Milan.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 40%, under 60%. Over 1.5 68%, over 3.5 19%.
What is the Napoli vs Milan head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Napoli won 4, Milan won 3 and 1 were drawn, with 2.62 goals per game and both teams scoring in 50% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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- Milan predictions and form
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