Union Berlin vs St Pauli Prediction & Odds
Bundesliga · 5 April 2026 16:30 · Final score 1-1. Our prediction: Union Berlin win (40%) · odds 2.18. Most likely pick Under 3.5 81% (odds ~1.21). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Union Berlin 1.24 – 0.94 St Pauli
Most likely scorelines
1-1 14%1-0 13%0-0 12%0-1 10%2-0 9%
Union Berlin vs St Pauli head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Union Berlin 5 wins, 1 draws, St Pauli 2 wins. 2.38 goals per game, both teams scored in 38%, over 2.5 in 38%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Bundesliga | Union Berlin – St Pauli | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2025-11-23 | Bundesliga | St Pauli – Union Berlin | 0-1 | Union Berlin won |
| 2025-01-26 | Bundesliga | St Pauli – Union Berlin | 3-0 | St Pauli won |
| 2024-08-30 | Bundesliga | Union Berlin – St Pauli | 1-0 | Union Berlin won |
| 2019-02-04 | 2. Bundesliga | St Pauli – Union Berlin | 3-2 | St Pauli won |
| 2018-08-26 | 2. Bundesliga | Union Berlin – St Pauli | 4-1 | Union Berlin won |
| 2018-04-14 | 2. Bundesliga | St Pauli – Union Berlin | 0-1 | Union Berlin won |
| 2017-11-04 | 2. Bundesliga | Union Berlin – St Pauli | 1-0 | Union Berlin won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.18 | 3.35 | 4.00 | 2.62 | 1.59 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.75 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| Bet&Win | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.60 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.00 | 3.60 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.60 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Union Berlin vs St Pauli?
Our model gives union berlin win a 40% chance; the draw is 35%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: no at 53%. Expected goals Union Berlin 1.24 – 0.94 St Pauli.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 37%, under 63%. Over 1.5 65%, over 3.5 19%.
What is the Union Berlin vs St Pauli head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Union Berlin won 5, St Pauli won 2 and 1 were drawn, with 2.38 goals per game and both teams scoring in 38% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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