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Nacional vs Estrela Prediction & Odds

Primeira Liga · 4 April 2026 17:30 · Final score 2-0. Our prediction: Nacional win (47%) · odds 2.16. Most likely pick Over 1.5 75% (odds ~1.33). Prediction was correct ✓

Match result

Nacional47% 2.16
Draw27% 3.60
Estrela26% 3.65

Both teams to score

BTTS yes56% ~1.86
BTTS no44% ~2.16

Total goals (over)

Over 1.575% ~1.33
Over 2.552% 1.98
Over 3.529% ~3.59

Expected goals: Nacional 1.6 – 1.13 Estrela

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12%1-0 10%2-1 9%2-0 8%0-0 7%

REKLAM
reklam

Nacional vs Estrela head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Nacional 1 wins, 1 draws, Estrela 3 wins. 2.4 goals per game, both teams scored in 40%, over 2.5 in 20%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-08-30Primeira LigaNacional – Estrela2-3Estrela won
2026-04-04Primeira LigaNacional – Estrela2-0Nacional won
2025-11-09Primeira LigaEstrela – Nacional1-1Draw
2025-04-06Primeira LigaNacional – Estrela0-1Estrela won
2024-11-10Primeira LigaEstrela – Nacional2-0Estrela won

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Betfair Exch.2.163.603.651.981.96
Bet3652.053.303.501.901.90
Bet&Win2.103.403.30——
BetVictor2.053.303.30——
Betfred2.003.403.40——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Nacional

11.08 EAcademico Viseu1-0 G
11.01 DArouca1-0 M
10.25 ESp Braga1-0 G
10.11 DRio Ave3-2 M
09.19 EFamalicao0-4 M

Estrela

11.08 EBenfica2-3 M
10.31 DMoreirense2-1 M
10.24 ECasa Pia0-2 M
10.11 DArouca1-0 M
09.20 EAcademico Viseu0-2 M

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Nacional vs Estrela?

Our model gives nacional win a 47% chance; the draw is 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: yes at 56%. Expected goals Nacional 1.6 – 1.13 Estrela.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 52%, under 48%. Over 1.5 75%, over 3.5 29%.

What is the Nacional vs Estrela head-to-head record?

In the last 5 meetings Nacional won 1, Estrela won 3 and 1 were drawn, with 2.4 goals per game and both teams scoring in 40% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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