Marseille vs Lille Prediction & Odds
Ligue 1 · 22 March 2026 19:15 · Final score 1-2. Our prediction: Marseille win (50%) · odds 1.97. Most likely pick Over 1.5 80% (odds ~1.28). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Marseille 1.73 – 1.14 Lille
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%2-1 10%1-0 9%2-0 8%1-2 6%
Marseille vs Lille head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Marseille 1 wins, 3 draws, Lille 4 wins. 2.25 goals per game, both teams scored in 75%, over 2.5 in 50%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Ligue 1 | Marseille – Lille | 1-2 | Lille won |
| 2025-12-05 | Ligue 1 | Lille – Marseille | 1-0 | Lille won |
| 2025-05-04 | Ligue 1 | Lille – Marseille | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2024-12-14 | Ligue 1 | Marseille – Lille | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2024-04-05 | Ligue 1 | Lille – Marseille | 3-1 | Lille won |
| 2023-11-04 | Ligue 1 | Marseille – Lille | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2023-05-20 | Ligue 1 | Lille – Marseille | 2-1 | Lille won |
| 2022-09-10 | Ligue 1 | Marseille – Lille | 2-1 | Marseille won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 1.97 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 1.85 | 2.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.80 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Bet&Win | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.80 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.70 | — | — |
| Betfred | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.60 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Marseille vs Lille?
Our model gives marseille win a 50% chance; the draw is 25%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 59%. Expected goals Marseille 1.73 – 1.14 Lille.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 55%, under 45%. Over 1.5 80%, over 3.5 33%.
What is the Marseille vs Lille head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Marseille won 1, Lille won 4 and 3 were drawn, with 2.25 goals per game and both teams scoring in 75% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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