Moreirense vs Arouca Prediction & Odds
Primeira Liga · 21 March 2026 18:30 · Final score 0-1. Our prediction: Moreirense win (39%) · odds 2.52. Most likely pick Under 3.5 78% (odds ~1.29). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Moreirense 1.28 – 1.14 Arouca
Most likely scorelines
1-1 14%1-0 11%0-0 10%0-1 9%2-1 8%
Moreirense vs Arouca head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Moreirense 4 wins, 1 draws, Arouca 3 wins. 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 25%, over 2.5 in 25%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Moreirense | 4-0 | Arouca won |
| 2026-03-21 | Primeira Liga | Moreirense – Arouca | 0-1 | Arouca won |
| 2025-11-02 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Moreirense | 0-2 | Moreirense won |
| 2025-01-24 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Moreirense | 1-0 | Arouca won |
| 2024-08-18 | Primeira Liga | Moreirense – Arouca | 3-1 | Moreirense won |
| 2024-03-17 | Primeira Liga | Moreirense – Arouca | 1-0 | Moreirense won |
| 2023-10-27 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Moreirense | 0-1 | Moreirense won |
| 2022-02-26 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Moreirense | 1-1 | Draw |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.52 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.22 | 1.75 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| Bet&Win | 2.37 | 3.30 | 2.85 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.13 | 2.88 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.38 | 3.25 | 2.88 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Moreirense vs Arouca?
Our model gives moreirense win a 39% chance; the draw is 30%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 51%. Expected goals Moreirense 1.28 – 1.14 Arouca.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 43%, under 57%. Over 1.5 68%, over 3.5 22%.
What is the Moreirense vs Arouca head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Moreirense won 4, Arouca won 3 and 1 were drawn, with 2.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 25% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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