Derby vs Birmingham Prediction & Odds
Championship · 21 March 2026 15:30 · Final score 1-0. Our prediction: Birmingham win (39%) · odds 2.74. Most likely pick Under 3.5 74% (odds ~1.37). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Derby 1.23 – 1.38 Birmingham
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%0-1 10%1-2 9%1-0 8%0-0 8%
Derby vs Birmingham head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Derby 3 wins, 2 draws, Birmingham 3 wins. 2.88 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 62%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Championship | Derby – Birmingham | 1-2 | Birmingham won |
| 2026-03-21 | Championship | Derby – Birmingham | 1-0 | Derby won |
| 2025-12-26 | Championship | Birmingham – Derby | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2022-01-30 | Championship | Derby – Birmingham | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2021-09-10 | Championship | Birmingham – Derby | 2-0 | Birmingham won |
| 2021-04-24 | Championship | Derby – Birmingham | 1-2 | Birmingham won |
| 2020-12-29 | Championship | Birmingham – Derby | 0-4 | Derby won |
| 2020-07-22 | Championship | Birmingham – Derby | 1-3 | Derby won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.82 | 3.50 | 2.74 | 2.06 | 1.88 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.50 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| Bet&Win | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.50 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.55 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.60 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Derby vs Birmingham?
Our model gives birmingham win a 39% chance; the draw is 28%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 55%. Expected goals Derby 1.23 – 1.38 Birmingham.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 48%, under 52%. Over 1.5 73%, over 3.5 26%.
What is the Derby vs Birmingham head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Derby won 3, Birmingham won 3 and 2 were drawn, with 2.88 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
Open in the app: live scores, coupons, odds comparison →
Other Championship matches on 21 March 2026
- Blackburn – Middlesbrough Over 1.5 %75
- Derby – Birmingham Under 3.5 %74
- Ipswich – Millwall Over 1.5 %78
- Bristol City – West Brom Under 3.5 %76
- Charlton – Norwich Over 1.5 %74
- Hull – Sheffield Weds Over 1.5 %82
- QPR – Portsmouth Under 3.5 %80
- Sheffield United – Wrexham Over 1.5 %78
- Southampton – Oxford Over 1.5 %80
- Watford – Leicester Over 1.5 %75
Strongest picks of the day
- Bayern Munich – Union Berlin Over 1.5 %91
- Espanol – Getafe Under 3.5 %89
- Nice – Paris SG Over 1.5 %88
- Dortmund – Hamburg Over 1.5 %86
- Rangers – Aberdeen Over 1.5 %85
- Heidenheim – Leverkusen Over 1.5 %85
- Paderborn – Dresden Over 1.5 %84
- For Sittard – Twente Over 1.5 %84
More
- Derby predictions and form
- Birmingham predictions and form
- Championship predictions and table
- All predictions for 21 March 2026
Last updated: