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Estrela vs Casa Pia Prediction & Odds

Primeira Liga · 20 March 2026 23:15 · Final score 4-0. Our prediction: Estrela win (38%) · odds 2.58. Most likely pick Under 3.5 78% (odds ~1.26). Prediction missed ✗

Match result

Estrela38% 2.58
Draw30% 3.20
Casa Pia32% 3.30

Both teams to score

BTTS yes50% ~2.08
BTTS no50% ~1.92

Total goals (over)

Over 1.567% ~1.46
Over 2.542% 2.38
Over 3.522% ~4.79

Expected goals: Estrela 1.24 – 1.13 Casa Pia

Most likely scorelines

1-1 14%1-0 11%0-0 10%0-1 10%2-1 8%

REKLAM
reklam

Estrela vs Casa Pia head-to-head

Last 7 meetings: Estrela 4 wins, 0 draws, Casa Pia 3 wins. 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 29%, over 2.5 in 43%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-10-24Primeira LigaEstrela – Casa Pia0-2Casa Pia won
2026-03-20Primeira LigaEstrela – Casa Pia4-0Estrela won
2025-11-01Primeira LigaCasa Pia – Estrela3-5Estrela won
2025-02-09Primeira LigaCasa Pia – Estrela1-0Casa Pia won
2024-08-31Primeira LigaEstrela – Casa Pia0-1Casa Pia won
2024-03-08Primeira LigaEstrela – Casa Pia3-1Estrela won
2023-10-08Primeira LigaCasa Pia – Estrela0-1Estrela won

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Betfair Exch.2.583.203.302.381.68
Bet3652.403.103.102.201.65
Bet&Win2.453.102.90——
BetVictor2.383.102.90——
Betfred2.383.202.88——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Estrela

11.08 EBenfica2-3 M
10.31 DMoreirense2-1 M
10.24 ECasa Pia0-2 M
10.11 DArouca1-0 M
09.20 EAcademico Viseu0-2 M

Casa Pia

11.07 DAlverca1-1 B
10.30 ESp Lisbon0-2 M
10.24 DEstrela0-2 G
10.10 ESanta Clara0-1 M
09.20 DEstoril1-2 G

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Estrela vs Casa Pia?

Our model gives estrela win a 38% chance; the draw is 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: yes at 50%. Expected goals Estrela 1.24 – 1.13 Casa Pia.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 42%, under 58%. Over 1.5 67%, over 3.5 22%.

What is the Estrela vs Casa Pia head-to-head record?

In the last 7 meetings Estrela won 4, Casa Pia won 3 and 0 were drawn, with 3.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 29% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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