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Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction & Odds

Championship · 16 March 2026 23:00 · Final score 0-1. Our prediction: Portsmouth win (44%) · odds 2.38. Most likely pick Under 3.5 79% (odds ~1.28). Prediction was correct ✓

Match result

Portsmouth44% 2.38
Draw30% 3.30
Derby26% 3.50

Both teams to score

BTTS yes49% ~2.07
BTTS no51% ~1.94

Total goals (over)

Over 1.567% ~1.44
Over 2.543% 2.26
Over 3.521% ~4.59

Expected goals: Portsmouth 1.38 – 1.01 Derby

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13%1-0 12%0-0 10%2-1 9%2-0 9%

REKLAM
reklam

Portsmouth vs Derby head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Portsmouth 0 wins, 2 draws, Derby 3 wins. 2.6 goals per game, both teams scored in 40%, over 2.5 in 40%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-09-01ChampionshipPortsmouth – Derby0-2Derby won
2026-03-16ChampionshipPortsmouth – Derby0-1Derby won
2025-12-20ChampionshipDerby – Portsmouth1-1Draw
2025-04-12ChampionshipPortsmouth – Derby2-2Draw
2024-12-13ChampionshipDerby – Portsmouth4-0Derby won

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Betfair Exch.2.383.253.452.261.65
Bet3652.153.203.402.201.67
Bet&Win2.253.303.25——
BetVictor2.153.133.25——
Betfred2.253.253.30——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Portsmouth

11.07 EStoke1-2 M
11.03 ESwansea3-1 G
10.31 DBurnley0-0 B
10.24 EMillwall2-1 G
10.20 DWolves1-1 B

Derby

11.06 EBolton3-1 G
11.03 ENorwich0-4 M
10.31 DMillwall4-1 M
10.24 DSheffield United1-1 B
10.17 EStoke0-1 M

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Portsmouth vs Derby?

Our model gives portsmouth win a 44% chance; the draw is 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: no at 51%. Expected goals Portsmouth 1.38 – 1.01 Derby.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 43%, under 57%. Over 1.5 67%, over 3.5 21%.

What is the Portsmouth vs Derby head-to-head record?

In the last 5 meetings Portsmouth won 0, Derby won 3 and 2 were drawn, with 2.6 goals per game and both teams scoring in 40% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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