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Lazio vs Milan Prediction & Odds

Serie A · 15 March 2026 22:45 · Final score 1-0. Our prediction: Milan win (52%) · odds 2.00. Most likely pick Under 3.5 78% (odds ~1.28). Prediction was correct ✓

Match result

Lazio21% 4.40
Draw27% 3.55
Milan52% 2.00

Both teams to score

BTTS yes52% ~2.13
BTTS no48% ~1.88

Total goals (over)

Over 1.572% ~1.44
Over 2.544% 2.26
Over 3.522% ~4.56

Expected goals: Lazio 0.9 – 1.55 Milan

Most likely scorelines

0-1 13%1-1 13%0-2 10%1-2 9%0-0 9%

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Lazio vs Milan head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Lazio 2 wins, 2 draws, Milan 4 wins. 2.25 goals per game, both teams scored in 38%, over 2.5 in 38%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-09-12Serie ALazio – Milan2-2Draw
2026-03-15Serie ALazio – Milan1-0Lazio won
2025-11-29Serie AMilan – Lazio1-0Milan won
2025-03-02Serie AMilan – Lazio1-2Lazio won
2024-08-31Serie ALazio – Milan2-2Draw
2024-03-01Serie ALazio – Milan0-1Milan won
2023-09-30Serie AMilan – Lazio2-0Milan won
2023-05-06Serie AMilan – Lazio2-0Milan won

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Betfair Exch.4.403.552.002.261.75
Bet3654.103.301.952.201.67
Bet&Win3.903.301.98——
BetVictor4.003.301.91——
Betfred4.003.301.91——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Lazio

11.08 DNapoli1-1 B
11.01 ECagliari2-1 G
10.27 DSassuolo2-6 G
10.24 EParma2-1 G
10.18 DJuventus0-3 G

Milan

11.08 DGenoa1-2 G
10.31 EInter3-1 G
10.28 EBologna2-4 M
10.25 DUdinese0-2 G
10.18 EAtalanta3-2 G

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Lazio vs Milan?

Our model gives milan win a 52% chance; the draw is 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: yes at 52%. Expected goals Lazio 0.9 – 1.55 Milan.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 44%, under 56%. Over 1.5 72%, over 3.5 22%.

What is the Lazio vs Milan head-to-head record?

In the last 8 meetings Lazio won 2, Milan won 4 and 2 were drawn, with 2.25 goals per game and both teams scoring in 38% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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