Metz vs Toulouse Prediction & Odds
Ligue 1 · 15 March 2026 19:15 · Final score 3-4. Our prediction: Toulouse win (52%) · odds 2.02. Most likely pick Under 3.5 75% (odds ~1.29). Prediction missed ✗
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Metz 0.92 – 1.57 Toulouse
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%0-1 13%0-2 10%1-2 9%0-0 9%
Metz vs Toulouse head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Metz 0 wins, 4 draws, Toulouse 4 wins. 2.88 goals per game, both teams scored in 50%, over 2.5 in 50%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Ligue 1 | Metz – Toulouse | 3-4 | Toulouse won |
| 2025-10-19 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse – Metz | 4-0 | Toulouse won |
| 2024-01-14 | Ligue 1 | Metz – Toulouse | 0-1 | Toulouse won |
| 2023-10-01 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse – Metz | 3-0 | Toulouse won |
| 2019-09-28 | Ligue 1 | Metz – Toulouse | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2018-03-03 | Ligue 1 | Metz – Toulouse | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2017-11-18 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse – Metz | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2017-05-14 | Ligue 1 | Metz – Toulouse | 1-1 | Draw |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 4.30 | 3.50 | 2.02 | 2.24 | 1.73 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| Bet&Win | 3.90 | 3.30 | 2.00 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 3.80 | 3.25 | 1.93 | — | — |
| Betfred | 3.75 | 3.30 | 2.00 | — | — |
| Ladbrokes | 3.90 | 3.25 | 2.00 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Metz vs Toulouse?
Our model gives toulouse win a 52% chance; the draw is 26%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 52%. Expected goals Metz 0.92 – 1.57 Toulouse.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 45%, under 55%. Over 1.5 71%, over 3.5 25%.
What is the Metz vs Toulouse head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Metz won 0, Toulouse won 4 and 4 were drawn, with 2.88 goals per game and both teams scoring in 50% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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