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Man United vs Aston Villa Prediction & Odds

Premier League · 15 March 2026 17:00 · Final score 3-1. Our prediction: Man United win (59%) · odds 1.75. Most likely pick Over 1.5 81% (odds ~1.24). Prediction was correct ✓

Match result

Man United59% 1.75
Draw21% 4.40
Aston Villa20% 4.80

Both teams to score

BTTS yes58% ~1.75
BTTS no42% ~2.33

Total goals (over)

Over 1.581% ~1.24
Over 2.559% 1.71
Over 3.535% ~2.82

Expected goals: Man United 1.99 – 1.06 Aston Villa

Most likely scorelines

1-1 10%2-1 10%2-0 9%1-0 9%3-1 7%

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Man United vs Aston Villa head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Man United 5 wins, 2 draws, Aston Villa 1 wins. 3.25 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 62%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-11-08Premier LeagueMan United – Aston Villa4-4Draw
2026-03-15Premier LeagueMan United – Aston Villa3-1Man United won
2025-12-21Premier LeagueAston Villa – Man United2-1Aston Villa won
2025-05-25Premier LeagueMan United – Aston Villa2-0Man United won
2024-10-06Premier LeagueAston Villa – Man United0-0Draw
2024-02-11Premier LeagueAston Villa – Man United1-2Man United won
2023-12-26Premier LeagueMan United – Aston Villa3-2Man United won
2023-04-30Premier LeagueMan United – Aston Villa1-0Man United won

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Betfair Exch.1.754.404.801.712.34
Bet3651.734.004.501.672.20
Bet&Win1.734.004.33——
BetVictor1.704.004.60——
Betfred1.734.004.33——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Man United

11.08 EAston Villa4-4 B
10.31 DChelsea2-0 M
10.25 EBournemouth0-3 M
10.18 DLeeds1-1 B
10.10 ETottenham1-1 B

Aston Villa

11.08 DMan United4-4 B
10.31 EFulham1-1 B
10.24 EMan City2-1 G
10.17 DNewcastle0-1 G
10.10 EBrentford2-2 B

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Man United vs Aston Villa?

Our model gives man united win a 59% chance; the draw is 21%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: yes at 58%. Expected goals Man United 1.99 – 1.06 Aston Villa.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 59%, under 41%. Over 1.5 81%, over 3.5 35%.

What is the Man United vs Aston Villa head-to-head record?

In the last 8 meetings Man United won 5, Aston Villa won 1 and 2 were drawn, with 3.25 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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