Arouca vs Benfica Prediction & Odds
Primeira Liga · 14 March 2026 23:30 · Final score 1-2. Our prediction: Benfica win (79%) · odds 1.29. Most likely pick Over 1.5 81% (odds ~1.22). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Arouca 0.61 – 2.5 Benfica
Most likely scorelines
0-2 14%0-3 12%0-1 11%1-2 8%0-4 7%
Arouca vs Benfica head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Arouca 0 wins, 1 draws, Benfica 7 wins. 3.62 goals per game, both teams scored in 25%, over 2.5 in 88%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Benfica | 1-2 | Benfica won |
| 2025-10-25 | Primeira Liga | Benfica – Arouca | 5-0 | Benfica won |
| 2025-04-13 | Primeira Liga | Benfica – Arouca | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2024-12-01 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Benfica | 0-2 | Benfica won |
| 2024-05-12 | Primeira Liga | Benfica – Arouca | 5-0 | Benfica won |
| 2024-01-06 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Benfica | 0-3 | Benfica won |
| 2023-01-31 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Benfica | 0-3 | Benfica won |
| 2022-08-05 | Primeira Liga | Benfica – Arouca | 4-0 | Benfica won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 12.50 | 6.20 | 1.29 | 1.64 | 2.40 |
| Bet365 | 10.00 | 5.75 | 1.24 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| Bet&Win | 9.75 | 5.75 | 1.27 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 10.50 | 5.50 | 1.22 | — | — |
| Betfred | 11.00 | 5.50 | 1.25 | — | — |
| Ladbrokes | 10.00 | 5.75 | 1.28 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Arouca vs Benfica?
Our model gives benfica win a 79% chance; the draw is 13%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: no at 56%. Expected goals Arouca 0.61 – 2.5 Benfica.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 60%, under 40%. Over 1.5 81%, over 3.5 37%.
What is the Arouca vs Benfica head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Arouca won 0, Benfica won 7 and 1 were drawn, with 3.62 goals per game and both teams scoring in 25% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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