Napoli vs Lecce Prediction & Odds
Serie A · 14 March 2026 20:00 · Final score 2-1. Our prediction: Napoli win (77%) · odds 1.39. Most likely pick Under 3.5 80% (odds ~1.29). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Napoli 1.97 – 0.38 Lecce
Most likely scorelines
2-0 18%1-0 18%3-0 12%0-0 10%1-1 8%
Napoli vs Lecce head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Napoli 6 wins, 2 draws, Lecce 0 wins. 1.88 goals per game, both teams scored in 38%, over 2.5 in 38%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Serie A | Napoli – Lecce | 2-1 | Napoli won |
| 2025-10-28 | Serie A | Lecce – Napoli | 0-1 | Napoli won |
| 2025-05-03 | Serie A | Lecce – Napoli | 0-1 | Napoli won |
| 2024-10-26 | Serie A | Napoli – Lecce | 1-0 | Napoli won |
| 2024-05-26 | Serie A | Napoli – Lecce | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2023-09-30 | Serie A | Lecce – Napoli | 0-4 | Napoli won |
| 2023-04-07 | Serie A | Lecce – Napoli | 1-2 | Napoli won |
| 2022-08-31 | Serie A | Napoli – Lecce | 1-1 | Draw |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 1.39 | 5.20 | 11.00 | 2.24 | 1.77 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 4.75 | 10.00 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| Bet&Win | 1.38 | 4.50 | 9.25 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 4.60 | 11.00 | — | — |
| Betfred | 1.33 | 4.33 | 10.00 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Napoli vs Lecce?
Our model gives napoli win a 77% chance; the draw is 16%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: no at 65%. Expected goals Napoli 1.97 – 0.38 Lecce.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 42%, under 58%. Over 1.5 71%, over 3.5 20%.
What is the Napoli vs Lecce head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Napoli won 6, Lecce won 0 and 2 were drawn, with 1.88 goals per game and both teams scoring in 38% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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