Millwall vs Derby Prediction & Odds
Championship · 10 March 2026 22:45 · Final score 1-0. Our prediction: Millwall win (46%) · odds 2.14. Most likely pick Under 3.5 78% (odds ~1.32). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Millwall 1.47 – 1.0 Derby
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%1-0 12%2-1 9%2-0 9%0-0 9%
Millwall vs Derby head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Millwall 5 wins, 3 draws, Derby 0 wins. 2.12 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 25%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Championship | Millwall – Derby | 4-1 | Millwall won |
| 2026-03-10 | Championship | Millwall – Derby | 1-0 | Millwall won |
| 2025-12-10 | Championship | Derby – Millwall | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2025-02-22 | Championship | Derby – Millwall | 0-1 | Millwall won |
| 2024-10-19 | Championship | Millwall – Derby | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2022-02-23 | Championship | Derby – Millwall | 1-2 | Millwall won |
| 2021-11-06 | Championship | Millwall – Derby | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2021-03-13 | Championship | Derby – Millwall | 0-1 | Millwall won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.14 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 2.20 | 1.81 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| Bet&Win | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.50 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.70 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.50 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Millwall vs Derby?
Our model gives millwall win a 46% chance; the draw is 29%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 51%. Expected goals Millwall 1.47 – 1.0 Derby.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 45%, under 55%. Over 1.5 70%, over 3.5 22%.
What is the Millwall vs Derby head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Millwall won 5, Derby won 0 and 3 were drawn, with 2.12 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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Other Championship matches on 10 March 2026
- Leicester – Bristol City Over 1.5 %76
- Millwall – Derby Under 3.5 %78
- Portsmouth – Swansea Under 3.5 %81
- Sheffield Weds – Watford Over 1.5 %74
- Wrexham – Hull Under 3.5 %73
- Stoke – Ipswich Under 3.5 %76
More
- Millwall predictions and form
- Derby predictions and form
- Championship predictions and table
- All predictions for 10 March 2026
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