Tondela vs Rio Ave Prediction & Odds
Primeira Liga · 9 March 2026 23:15 · Final score 0-1. Our prediction: Tondela win (45%) · odds 2.15. Most likely pick Under 3.5 74% (odds ~1.33). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Tondela 1.46 – 1.09 Rio Ave
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%1-0 11%2-1 9%0-0 8%2-0 8%
Tondela vs Rio Ave head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Tondela 1 wins, 3 draws, Rio Ave 4 wins. 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 75%, over 2.5 in 62%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | Primeira Liga | Tondela – Rio Ave | 0-1 | Rio Ave won |
| 2025-10-05 | Primeira Liga | Rio Ave – Tondela | 3-0 | Rio Ave won |
| 2021-02-09 | Primeira Liga | Rio Ave – Tondela | 2-1 | Rio Ave won |
| 2020-09-20 | Primeira Liga | Tondela – Rio Ave | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2020-02-22 | Primeira Liga | Tondela – Rio Ave | 1-2 | Rio Ave won |
| 2019-09-15 | Primeira Liga | Rio Ave – Tondela | 2-4 | Tondela won |
| 2019-02-01 | Primeira Liga | Rio Ave – Tondela | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2018-08-26 | Primeira Liga | Tondela – Rio Ave | 1-1 | Draw |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.10 | 2.98 | 4.20 | — | — |
| Bet365 | 1.96 | 3.25 | 3.90 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| Bet&Win | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.40 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.50 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.40 | — | — |
| Ladbrokes | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.50 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Tondela vs Rio Ave?
Our model gives tondela win a 45% chance; the draw is 26%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 53%. Expected goals Tondela 1.46 – 1.09 Rio Ave.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 47%, under 53%. Over 1.5 71%, over 3.5 26%.
What is the Tondela vs Rio Ave head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Tondela won 1, Rio Ave won 4 and 3 were drawn, with 3.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 75% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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