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Benfica vs Porto Prediction & Odds

Primeira Liga · 8 March 2026 21:00 · Final score 2-2. Our prediction: Benfica win (45%) · odds 2.24. Most likely pick Under 3.5 79% (odds ~1.27). Prediction missed ✗

Match result

Benfica45% 2.24
Draw29% 3.30
Porto26% 3.65

Both teams to score

BTTS yes50% ~2.09
BTTS no50% ~1.92

Total goals (over)

Over 1.569% ~1.45
Over 2.543% 2.26
Over 3.521% ~4.64

Expected goals: Benfica 1.41 – 1.0 Porto

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13%1-0 12%0-0 10%2-1 9%2-0 9%

REKLAM
reklam

Benfica vs Porto head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Benfica 3 wins, 2 draws, Porto 3 wins. 3.38 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 75%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-09-20Primeira LigaPorto – Benfica3-1Porto won
2026-03-08Primeira LigaBenfica – Porto2-2Draw
2025-10-05Primeira LigaPorto – Benfica0-0Draw
2025-04-06Primeira LigaPorto – Benfica1-4Benfica won
2024-11-10Primeira LigaBenfica – Porto4-1Benfica won
2024-03-03Primeira LigaPorto – Benfica5-0Porto won
2023-09-29Primeira LigaBenfica – Porto1-0Benfica won
2023-04-07Primeira LigaBenfica – Porto1-2Porto won

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Betfair Exch.2.243.253.652.261.69
Bet3652.103.253.402.151.67
Bet&Win2.103.103.25——
BetVictor2.103.203.30——
Betfred2.153.203.30——
Ladbrokes2.153.253.40——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Benfica

11.08 DEstrela2-3 G
11.02 EAlverca1-0 G
10.26 DSanta Clara1-2 G
10.11 EGuimaraes2-0 G
09.20 DPorto3-1 M

Porto

11.08 DGuimaraes1-2 G
10.31 EEstoril4-0 G
10.24 DGil Vicente0-1 G
10.10 DMaritimo1-2 G
09.20 EBenfica3-1 G

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Benfica vs Porto?

Our model gives benfica win a 45% chance; the draw is 29%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: yes at 50%. Expected goals Benfica 1.41 – 1.0 Porto.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 43%, under 57%. Over 1.5 69%, over 3.5 21%.

What is the Benfica vs Porto head-to-head record?

In the last 8 meetings Benfica won 3, Porto won 3 and 2 were drawn, with 3.38 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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