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Moreirense vs Nacional Prediction & Odds

Primeira Liga · 7 March 2026 18:30 · Final score 1-1. Our prediction: Moreirense win (38%) · odds 2.44. Most likely pick Under 3.5 77% (odds ~1.29). Prediction was correct ✓

Match result

Moreirense38% 2.44
Draw29% 3.30
Nacional32% 3.20

Both teams to score

BTTS yes51% ~2.02
BTTS no49% ~1.98

Total goals (over)

Over 1.569% ~1.42
Over 2.543% 2.20
Over 3.523% ~4.44

Expected goals: Moreirense 1.26 – 1.14 Nacional

Most likely scorelines

1-1 14%1-0 11%0-0 10%0-1 10%2-1 8%

REKLAM
reklam

Moreirense vs Nacional head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Moreirense 3 wins, 3 draws, Nacional 2 wins. 2.62 goals per game, both teams scored in 75%, over 2.5 in 50%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-03-07Primeira LigaMoreirense – Nacional1-1Draw
2025-10-04Primeira LigaNacional – Moreirense3-2Nacional won
2025-04-27Primeira LigaMoreirense – Nacional1-1Draw
2024-12-14Primeira LigaNacional – Moreirense1-0Nacional won
2021-05-06Primeira LigaMoreirense – Nacional2-2Draw
2021-01-17Primeira LigaNacional – Moreirense0-1Moreirense won
2019-01-28Primeira LigaMoreirense – Nacional2-1Moreirense won
2018-08-19Primeira LigaNacional – Moreirense1-2Moreirense won

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Betfair Exch.2.443.253.202.201.74
Bet3652.303.253.002.151.67
Bet&Win2.353.302.90——
BetVictor2.303.132.90——
Betfred2.303.253.00——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Moreirense

11.07 DSp Lisbon1-0 M
10.31 EEstrela2-1 G
10.25 DEstoril1-3 G
10.09 EGil Vicente0-1 M
09.20 DGuimaraes1-1 B

Nacional

11.08 EAcademico Viseu1-0 G
11.01 DArouca1-0 M
10.25 ESp Braga1-0 G
10.11 DRio Ave3-2 M
09.19 EFamalicao0-4 M

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Moreirense vs Nacional?

Our model gives moreirense win a 38% chance; the draw is 29%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: yes at 51%. Expected goals Moreirense 1.26 – 1.14 Nacional.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 43%, under 57%. Over 1.5 69%, over 3.5 23%.

What is the Moreirense vs Nacional head-to-head record?

In the last 8 meetings Moreirense won 3, Nacional won 2 and 3 were drawn, with 2.62 goals per game and both teams scoring in 75% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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