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Toulouse vs Marseille Prediction & Odds

Ligue 1 · 7 March 2026 23:05 · Final score 0-1. Our prediction: Marseille win (40%) · odds 2.38. Most likely pick Over 1.5 76% (odds ~1.31). Prediction missed ✗

Match result

Toulouse33% 3.15
Draw27% 3.60
Marseille40% 2.38

Both teams to score

BTTS yes57% ~1.78
BTTS no43% ~2.28

Total goals (over)

Over 1.576% ~1.31
Over 2.552% 1.91
Over 3.527% ~3.38

Expected goals: Toulouse 1.3 – 1.46 Marseille

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13%1-2 9%0-1 9%2-1 8%1-0 8%

REKLAM
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Toulouse vs Marseille head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Toulouse 0 wins, 3 draws, Marseille 5 wins. 3.12 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 62%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-11-01Ligue 1Marseille – Toulouse2-0Marseille won
2026-03-07Ligue 1Toulouse – Marseille0-1Marseille won
2025-11-29Ligue 1Marseille – Toulouse2-2Draw
2025-04-06Ligue 1Marseille – Toulouse3-2Marseille won
2024-08-31Ligue 1Toulouse – Marseille1-3Marseille won
2024-04-21Ligue 1Toulouse – Marseille2-2Draw
2023-09-17Ligue 1Marseille – Toulouse0-0Draw
2023-02-19Ligue 1Toulouse – Marseille2-3Marseille won

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Betfair Exch.3.153.602.381.892.08
Bet3652.903.502.351.911.91
Bet&Win2.903.502.30——
BetVictor2.883.402.25——
Betfred2.883.402.30——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Toulouse

11.06 EStrasbourg3-1 G
11.01 DMarseille2-0 M
10.25 ETroyes0-0 B
10.16 DLe Mans0-3 G
10.10 DMonaco2-2 B

Marseille

11.08 DLens1-2 G
11.01 EToulouse2-0 G
10.25 ELe Havre4-3 G
10.18 DAngers2-5 G
10.11 DTroyes0-2 G

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Toulouse vs Marseille?

Our model gives marseille win a 40% chance; the draw is 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: yes at 57%. Expected goals Toulouse 1.3 – 1.46 Marseille.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 52%, under 48%. Over 1.5 76%, over 3.5 27%.

What is the Toulouse vs Marseille head-to-head record?

In the last 8 meetings Toulouse won 0, Marseille won 5 and 3 were drawn, with 3.12 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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