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Derby vs Sheffield Weds Prediction & Odds

Championship · 7 March 2026 18:00 · Final score 2-1. Our prediction: Derby win (79%) · odds 1.30. Most likely pick Over 1.5 79% (odds ~1.25). Prediction was correct ✓

Match result

Derby79% 1.30
Draw14% 5.75
Sheffield Weds7% 14.00

Both teams to score

BTTS yes40% ~2.49
BTTS no60% ~1.67

Total goals (over)

Over 1.579% ~1.25
Over 2.558% 1.80
Over 3.531% ~2.92

Expected goals: Derby 2.44 – 0.57 Sheffield Weds

Most likely scorelines

2-0 15%3-0 12%1-0 12%2-1 8%4-0 7%

REKLAM
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Derby vs Sheffield Weds head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Derby 3 wins, 2 draws, Sheffield Weds 3 wins. 3.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 75%, over 2.5 in 75%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-03-07ChampionshipDerby – Sheffield Weds2-1Derby won
2025-12-15ChampionshipSheffield Weds – Derby0-3Derby won
2025-01-01ChampionshipSheffield Weds – Derby4-2Sheffield Weds won
2024-12-01ChampionshipDerby – Sheffield Weds1-2Sheffield Weds won
2021-05-08ChampionshipDerby – Sheffield Weds3-3Draw
2021-01-01ChampionshipSheffield Weds – Derby1-0Sheffield Weds won
2020-02-29ChampionshipSheffield Weds – Derby1-3Derby won
2019-12-11ChampionshipDerby – Sheffield Weds1-1Draw

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Betfair Exch.1.305.7014.001.802.20
Bet3651.245.2512.001.732.10
Bet&Win1.285.7510.00——
BetVictor1.255.7511.50——
Betfred1.255.5011.00——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Derby

11.06 EBolton3-1 G
11.03 ENorwich0-4 M
10.31 DMillwall4-1 M
10.24 DSheffield United1-1 B
10.17 EStoke0-1 M

Sheffield Weds

05.02 EWest Brom2-1 G
04.25 DOxford4-1 M
04.22 DMiddlesbrough1-0 M
04.18 ECharlton1-1 B
04.11 DCoventry0-0 B

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Derby vs Sheffield Weds?

Our model gives derby win a 79% chance; the draw is 14%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: no at 60%. Expected goals Derby 2.44 – 0.57 Sheffield Weds.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 58%, under 42%. Over 1.5 79%, over 3.5 31%.

What is the Derby vs Sheffield Weds head-to-head record?

In the last 8 meetings Derby won 3, Sheffield Weds won 3 and 2 were drawn, with 3.5 goals per game and both teams scoring in 75% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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