Marseille vs Lyon Prediction & Odds
Ligue 1 · 1 March 2026 22:45 · Final score 3-2. Our prediction: Marseille win (51%) · odds 2.00. Most likely pick Over 1.5 81% (odds ~1.25). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Marseille 1.8 – 1.17 Lyon
Most likely scorelines
1-1 11%2-1 10%1-0 9%2-0 8%1-2 6%
Marseille vs Lyon head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Marseille 6 wins, 0 draws, Lyon 2 wins. 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 50%, over 2.5 in 62%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Ligue 1 | Marseille – Lyon | 3-2 | Marseille won |
| 2025-08-31 | Ligue 1 | Lyon – Marseille | 1-0 | Lyon won |
| 2025-02-02 | Ligue 1 | Marseille – Lyon | 3-2 | Marseille won |
| 2024-09-22 | Ligue 1 | Lyon – Marseille | 2-3 | Marseille won |
| 2024-02-04 | Ligue 1 | Lyon – Marseille | 1-0 | Lyon won |
| 2023-12-06 | Ligue 1 | Marseille – Lyon | 3-0 | Marseille won |
| 2023-04-23 | Ligue 1 | Lyon – Marseille | 1-2 | Marseille won |
| 2022-11-06 | Ligue 1 | Marseille – Lyon | 1-0 | Marseille won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.90 | 1.72 | 2.24 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| Bet&Win | 1.98 | 3.75 | 3.50 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.50 | — | — |
| Betfred | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.75 | — | — |
| Ladbrokes | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.50 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Marseille vs Lyon?
Our model gives marseille win a 51% chance; the draw is 25%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 61%. Expected goals Marseille 1.8 – 1.17 Lyon.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 57%, under 43%. Over 1.5 81%, over 3.5 34%.
What is the Marseille vs Lyon head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Marseille won 6, Lyon won 2 and 0 were drawn, with 3.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 50% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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Other Ligue 1 matches on 1 March 2026
- Paris FC – Nice Over 1.5 %76
- Lille – Nantes Over 1.5 %80
- Lorient – Auxerre Under 3.5 %79
- Metz – Brest Over 1.5 %75
- Marseille – Lyon Over 1.5 %81
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More
- Marseille predictions and form
- Lyon predictions and form
- Ligue 1 predictions and table
- All predictions for 1 March 2026
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