Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction & Odds
Premier League · 1 March 2026 19:30 · Final score 2-1. Our prediction: Arsenal win (61%) · odds 1.65. Most likely pick Over 1.5 80% (odds ~1.26). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Arsenal 1.97 – 0.92 Chelsea
Most likely scorelines
2-0 11%1-1 11%1-0 10%2-1 10%3-0 7%
Arsenal vs Chelsea head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Arsenal 5 wins, 3 draws, Chelsea 0 wins. 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 75%, over 2.5 in 62%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Premier League | Arsenal – Chelsea | 2-1 | Arsenal won |
| 2026-03-01 | Premier League | Arsenal – Chelsea | 2-1 | Arsenal won |
| 2025-11-30 | Premier League | Chelsea – Arsenal | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2025-03-16 | Premier League | Arsenal – Chelsea | 1-0 | Arsenal won |
| 2024-11-10 | Premier League | Chelsea – Arsenal | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2024-04-23 | Premier League | Arsenal – Chelsea | 5-0 | Arsenal won |
| 2023-10-21 | Premier League | Chelsea – Arsenal | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2023-05-02 | Premier League | Arsenal – Chelsea | 3-1 | Arsenal won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 1.65 | 4.30 | 5.90 | 1.77 | 2.22 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.80 | 5.50 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| Bet&Win | 1.63 | 4.00 | 5.25 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.25 | — | — |
| Betfred | 1.62 | 4.00 | 5.50 | — | — |
| Ladbrokes | 1.61 | 4.00 | 5.25 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Arsenal vs Chelsea?
Our model gives arsenal win a 61% chance; the draw is 24%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 56%. Expected goals Arsenal 1.97 – 0.92 Chelsea.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 55%, under 45%. Over 1.5 80%, over 3.5 33%.
What is the Arsenal vs Chelsea head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Arsenal won 5, Chelsea won 0 and 3 were drawn, with 3.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 75% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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