Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Odds
Bundesliga · 28 February 2026 20:30 · Final score 2-3. Our prediction: Bayern Munich win (58%) · odds 1.69. Most likely pick Over 1.5 91% (odds ~1.11). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Dortmund 1.5 – 2.44 Bayern Munich
Most likely scorelines
1-2 9%1-1 7%1-3 7%2-2 7%0-2 6%
Dortmund vs Bayern Munich head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Dortmund 1 wins, 3 draws, Bayern Munich 4 wins. 3.75 goals per game, both teams scored in 75%, over 2.5 in 75%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Bundesliga | Bayern Munich – Dortmund | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2026-02-28 | Bundesliga | Dortmund – Bayern Munich | 2-3 | Bayern Munich won |
| 2025-10-18 | Bundesliga | Bayern Munich – Dortmund | 2-1 | Bayern Munich won |
| 2025-04-12 | Bundesliga | Bayern Munich – Dortmund | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2024-11-30 | Bundesliga | Dortmund – Bayern Munich | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2024-03-30 | Bundesliga | Bayern Munich – Dortmund | 0-2 | Dortmund won |
| 2023-11-04 | Bundesliga | Dortmund – Bayern Munich | 0-4 | Bayern Munich won |
| 2023-04-01 | Bundesliga | Bayern Munich – Dortmund | 4-2 | Bayern Munich won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 4.90 | 4.90 | 1.68 | 1.34 | 3.75 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 4.75 | 1.60 | 1.33 | 3.40 |
| Bet&Win | 4.20 | 4.60 | 1.66 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 4.33 | 4.33 | 1.57 | — | — |
| Betfred | 4.33 | 4.50 | 1.62 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Dortmund vs Bayern Munich?
Our model gives bayern munich win a 58% chance; the draw is 20%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 74%. Expected goals Dortmund 1.5 – 2.44 Bayern Munich.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 75%, under 25%. Over 1.5 91%, over 3.5 56%.
What is the Dortmund vs Bayern Munich head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Dortmund won 1, Bayern Munich won 4 and 3 were drawn, with 3.75 goals per game and both teams scoring in 75% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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