Porto vs Arouca Prediction & Odds
Primeira Liga · 27 February 2026 21:45 · Final score 3-1. Our prediction: Porto win (86%) · odds 1.25. Most likely pick Home win 86% (odds 1.25). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Porto 2.56 – 0.37 Arouca
Most likely scorelines
2-0 17%3-0 15%1-0 13%4-0 10%2-1 7%
Porto vs Arouca head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Porto 6 wins, 1 draws, Arouca 1 wins. 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 38%, over 2.5 in 50%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Primeira Liga | Porto – Arouca | 2-0 | Porto won |
| 2026-02-27 | Primeira Liga | Porto – Arouca | 3-1 | Porto won |
| 2025-09-29 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Porto | 0-4 | Porto won |
| 2025-03-01 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Porto | 0-2 | Porto won |
| 2024-09-29 | Primeira Liga | Porto – Arouca | 4-0 | Porto won |
| 2024-02-12 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Porto | 3-2 | Arouca won |
| 2023-09-03 | Primeira Liga | Porto – Arouca | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2023-05-08 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Porto | 0-1 | Porto won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 1.25 | 6.80 | 17.50 | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.19 | 6.25 | 11.00 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| Bet&Win | 1.24 | 5.75 | 11.50 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.18 | 5.75 | 13.00 | — | — |
| Betfred | 1.20 | 6.00 | 13.00 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Porto vs Arouca?
Our model gives porto win a 86% chance; the draw is 10%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: no at 63%. Expected goals Porto 2.56 – 0.37 Arouca.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 56%, under 44%. Over 1.5 79%, over 3.5 32%.
What is the Porto vs Arouca head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Porto won 6, Arouca won 1 and 1 were drawn, with 3.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 38% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
- Porto predictions and form
- Arouca predictions and form
- Primeira Liga predictions and table
- All predictions for 27 February 2026
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